Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays
All Cleveland Guardians predictions · All Tampa Bay Rays predictions
MLB · Tuesday, October 13, 2026 · 8:00 PM
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Cleveland Guardians | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +115 | -135 |
| BetRivers | +116 | -137 |
| DraftKings | +110 | -132 |
| ESPN BET | +115 | -135 |
| Fanatics | +115 | -140 |
| FanDuel | +112 | -132 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +115 | -135 |
| Caesars | +116 | -136 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Guardians | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -200 | −1.5 +165 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -205 | −1.5 +165 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -205 | −1.5 +168 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -215 | −1.5 +170 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -200 | −1.5 +160 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -210 | −1.5 +172 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -200 | −1.5 +165 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -193 | −1.5 +163 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +100 |
| BetRivers | 7 +102 | 7 -125 |
| DraftKings | 7 +102 | 7 -122 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +110 |
| Fanatics | 7 +100 | 7 -120 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -128 | 6.5 +104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +105 |
| Caesars | 7 +102 | 7 -120 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.
| Venue | Cleveland Guardians | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 44.7% | 55.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 46.3% | 56.9% |
| Kalshi contract price | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Markets average | 44.0% | 56.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.