Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians
All Tampa Bay Rays predictions · All Cleveland Guardians predictions
MLB · Thursday, October 15, 2026 · 1:00 PM
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Tampa Bay Rays | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +110 | -135 |
| BetRivers | +112 | -134 |
| DraftKings | +110 | -133 |
| ESPN BET | +110 | -130 |
| Fanatics | +110 | -130 |
| FanDuel | +110 | -130 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +110 | -135 |
| Caesars | +111 | -130 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Rays | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -210 | −1.5 +170 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -200 | −1.5 +160 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -207 | −1.5 +169 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -215 | −1.5 +170 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -205 | −1.5 +165 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -210 | −1.5 +172 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -210 | −1.5 +175 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -213 | −1.5 +178 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +100 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -117 | 6.5 -105 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +100 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 6.5 -118 | 6.5 +100 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.
| Venue | Tampa Bay Rays | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 47.2% | 56.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Markets average | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.