Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians
All Tampa Bay Rays predictions · All Cleveland Guardians predictions
MLB · Friday, October 16, 2026 · 6:00 PM
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Tampa Bay Rays | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -110 | -110 |
| BetRivers | -113 | -107 |
| DraftKings | -110 | -110 |
| ESPN BET | -115 | -105 |
| Fanatics | -110 | -110 |
| FanDuel | -116 | -102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -115 | -105 |
| Caesars | -112 | -106 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Rays | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +165 | +1.5 -200 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -195 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +163 | +1.5 -198 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +170 | +1.5 -215 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +165 | +1.5 -205 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +172 | +1.5 -210 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +170 | +1.5 -200 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +172 | +1.5 -205 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -112 | 6.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -108 | 6.5 -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 6.5 -112 | 6.5 -107 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.
| Venue | Tampa Bay Rays | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 50.6% | 49.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 52.4% | 50.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Markets average | 50.5% | 49.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.