Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians
All Tampa Bay Rays predictions · All Cleveland Guardians predictions
MLB · Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 5:10 PM · Final: 3-1
The model's call
Tampa Bay Rays to win
Model confidence 54.0%
Books consensus 54.0%
Result Tampa Bay Rays won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Tampa Bay Rays | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -130 | +110 |
| BetRivers | -132 | +110 |
| DraftKings | -120 | +108 |
| ESPN BET | -125 | +111 |
| Fanatics | -125 | +105 |
| FanDuel | -122 | +108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -130 | +110 |
| Novig | -115 | +111 |
| Caesars | -130 | +112 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
Rays −1.5
priced 39.8% to cover · 7 books, 1 on another number
Tampa Bay Rays covered −1.5
Total · closing
O/U 6
priced 50.8% over · 4 books, 4 on another number
opened 6.5
Under 6 (4 scored)
| Spread by book | Rays | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +140 | +1.5 -170 |
| BetRivers | −1 +105 | +1 -129 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +142 | +1.5 -172 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +145 | +1.5 -175 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +140 | +1.5 -170 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +146 | +1.5 -178 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +140 | +1.5 -165 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +128 | +1.5 -155 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 -102 | 6.5 -118 |
| BetRivers | 6 -108 | 6 -113 |
| DraftKings | 6 -112 | 6 -107 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | 6 -115 | 6 -105 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -120 |
| Caesars | 6 -121 | 6 +103 |
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