Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays
All Cleveland Guardians predictions · All Tampa Bay Rays predictions
MLB · Monday, October 19, 2026 · 8:10 PM · Final: 3-7
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Cleveland Guardians | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +130 | -155 |
| BetRivers | +130 | -155 |
| DraftKings | +134 | -151 |
| ESPN BET | +130 | -150 |
| Fanatics | +130 | -155 |
| FanDuel | +138 | -158 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +130 | -155 |
| Novig | +138 | -141 |
| Caesars | +135 | -155 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Guardians | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -175 | −1.5 +145 |
| BetRivers | +1 -117 | −1 -105 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -169 | −1.5 +139 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +150 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +145 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -176 | −1.5 +146 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -175 | −1.5 +145 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +135 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7 +100 | 7 -120 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -124 | 6.5 +102 |
| DraftKings | 7 +100 | 7 -120 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 +105 |
| Fanatics | 7 +100 | 7 -120 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -128 | 6.5 +104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 +105 |
| Caesars | 7 +102 | 7 -121 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Cleveland Guardians | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 42.0% | 58.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Markets average | 41.5% | 58.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.