New York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies
All New York Yankees predictions · All Philadelphia Phillies predictions
MLB · Sunday, July 26, 2026 · 7:21 PM · Final: 4-11
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Yankees | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +170 | -210 |
| BetRivers | +190 | -220 |
| DraftKings | +178 | -219 |
| ESPN BET | +175 | -210 |
| Fanatics | +175 | -215 |
| FanDuel | +176 | -210 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +180 | -220 |
| Caesars | +175 | -210 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Yankees | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -120 | −1.5 +100 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -114 | −1.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -117 | −1.5 -103 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -125 | −1.5 +105 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -115 | −1.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -118 | −1.5 -102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -115 | −1.5 -105 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -115 | −1.5 -105 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8 -115 | 8 -105 |
| BetRivers | 8 -114 | 8 -106 |
| DraftKings | 8 -116 | 8 -104 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -130 | 7.5 +110 |
| Fanatics | 8 -115 | 8 -105 |
| FanDuel | 8 -114 | 8 -106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -130 | 7.5 +110 |
| Caesars | 8 -115 | 8 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New York Yankees | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 34.8% | 65.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 34.5% | 67.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 35.5% | 65.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Markets average | 35.0% | 65.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.