Boston Red Sox at Athletics
MLB · Monday, July 27, 2026 · 9:40 PM · Final: 4-2
The model's call
Boston Red Sox to win
Model confidence 63.5%
Books consensus 63.5%
Result Boston Red Sox won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Boston Red Sox | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -200 | +165 |
| BetRivers | -190 | +165 |
| DraftKings | -198 | +163 |
| ESPN BET | -190 | +160 |
| Fanatics | -195 | +160 |
| FanDuel | -196 | +164 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -190 | +155 |
| Caesars | -205 | +170 |
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts
involve risk; this is not investment advice.