Boston Red Sox at Athletics
MLB · Tuesday, July 28, 2026 · 9:41 PM · Final: 3-4
The model's call
Boston Red Sox to win
Model confidence 58.1%
Books consensus 58.1%
Result Athletics won
model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Boston Red Sox | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -155 | +125 |
| BetRivers | -139 | +123 |
| DraftKings | -156 | +129 |
| ESPN BET | -150 | +130 |
| Fanatics | -155 | +130 |
| FanDuel | -146 | +124 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -155 | +130 |
| Caesars | -160 | +135 |
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts
involve risk; this is not investment advice.