New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays
MLB · Monday, July 6, 2026 · 6:41 PM · Final: 5-1
The model's call
New York Yankees to win
Model confidence 53.2%
Books consensus 53.2%
Result New York Yankees won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Yankees | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -130 | +105 |
| BetRivers | -117 | -107 |
| DraftKings | -129 | +107 |
| ESPN BET | -125 | +105 |
| Fanatics | -125 | +105 |
| FanDuel | -120 | +102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -120 | +100 |
| Caesars | -125 | +105 |
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