New York Yankees at Chicago Cubs
All New York Yankees predictions · All Chicago Cubs predictions
MLB · Sunday, August 2, 2026 · 2:21 PM · Final: 2-1
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Yankees | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -110 | -110 |
| BetRivers | -120 | +105 |
| DraftKings | -115 | -105 |
| ESPN BET | -120 | +100 |
| Fanatics | -120 | +100 |
| FanDuel | -116 | +106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -115 | +105 |
| Caesars | -115 | -105 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Yankees | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -190 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -190 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +152 | +1.5 -184 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +160 | +1.5 -190 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -190 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +150 | +1.5 -182 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +160 | +1.5 -170 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +150 | +1.5 -178 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 +105 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -118 | 6.5 +100 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 -124 | 6.5 +103 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 +105 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -124 | 6.5 +102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +110 |
| Caesars | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +100 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New York Yankees | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 52.2% | 47.8% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 52.4% | 48.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| Markets average | 52.5% | 47.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.