Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles
MLB · Tuesday, July 7, 2026 · 7:36 PM · Final: 5-2
The model's call
Chicago Cubs to win
Model confidence 51.0%
Books consensus 51.0%
Result Chicago Cubs won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Chicago Cubs | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -110 | -110 |
| BetRivers | -117 | -107 |
| DraftKings | -114 | -106 |
| ESPN BET | -115 | -105 |
| Fanatics | -110 | -110 |
| FanDuel | -108 | -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -115 | -105 |
| Caesars | -115 | -105 |
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