Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies
All Washington Nationals predictions · All Philadelphia Phillies predictions
MLB · Tuesday, August 4, 2026 · 6:42 PM · Final: 0-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Washington Nationals | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +260 | -325 |
| BetRivers | +295 | -345 |
| DraftKings | +282 | -304 |
| ESPN BET | +260 | -320 |
| Fanatics | +250 | -320 |
| FanDuel | +260 | -300 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +275 | -300 |
| Caesars | +265 | -310 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Washington Nationals | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 26.6% | 73.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 25.3% | 75.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 26.5% | 73.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 25.5% | 74.5% |
| Markets average | 26.0% | 74.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.