Athletics at Cincinnati Reds
All Athletics predictions · All Cincinnati Reds predictions
MLB · Thursday, August 6, 2026 · 12:41 PM · Final: 5-6
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Athletics | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +145 | -175 |
| BetRivers | +148 | -167 |
| DraftKings | +153 | -165 |
| ESPN BET | +143 | -162 |
| Fanatics | +140 | -170 |
| FanDuel | +146 | -158 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +150 | -160 |
| Caesars | +150 | -160 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Athletics | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +118 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -139 | −1.5 +115 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -142 | −1.5 +118 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +120 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +120 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -146 | −1.5 +122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -135 | −1.5 +125 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -140 | −1.5 +118 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 9 -110 | 9 -110 |
| BetRivers | 9 -118 | 9 -103 |
| DraftKings | 9 -104 | 9 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -135 | 8.5 +115 |
| Fanatics | 9 -105 | 9 -115 |
| FanDuel | 9 -106 | 9 -114 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 -130 | 8.5 +120 |
| Caesars | 9 -105 | 9 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Athletics | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 39.4% | 60.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 39.5% | 61.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 38.5% | 61.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.