Athletics at Boston Red Sox
All Athletics predictions · All Boston Red Sox predictions
MLB · Friday, August 7, 2026 · 7:11 PM · Final: 1-13
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Athletics | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +225 | -285 |
| BetRivers | +225 | -265 |
| DraftKings | +240 | -260 |
| ESPN BET | +225 | -275 |
| Fanatics | +230 | -285 |
| FanDuel | +245 | -270 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +260 | -275 |
| Caesars | +235 | -270 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Athletics | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 +110 | −1.5 -135 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 +107 | −1.5 -129 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 +108 | −1.5 -130 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 +110 | −1.5 -130 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 +110 | −1.5 -135 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 +108 | −1.5 -130 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 +115 | −1.5 -125 |
| Caesars | +1.5 +115 | −1.5 -135 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 8.5 -106 | 8.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -120 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Athletics | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 27.8% | 72.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 28.5% | 71.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.