Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans
All Buffalo Bills predictions · All Houston Texans predictions
NFL · Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 1:04 PM · Final: 36-31
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Buffalo Bills | Houston Texans |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -118 | -102 |
| BetRivers | -121 | +100 |
| DraftKings | -112 | -108 |
| ESPN BET | -125 | +105 |
| Fanatics | -115 | -105 |
| FanDuel | -118 | +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -120 | +100 |
| Caesars | -118 | +100 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Bills | Texans |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1 -108 | +1 -110 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 -108 | +1.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | −1 -105 | +1 -115 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1 -115 | +1 -105 |
| Caesars | −1 -109 | +1 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 44.5 -108 | 44.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 44.5 -113 | 44.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | 44.5 -110 | 44.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 44.5 -115 | 44.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 44.5 -110 | 44.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 44.5 -110 | 44.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 44.5 -110 | 44.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 44.5 -109 | 44.5 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Buffalo Bills | Houston Texans |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 52.8% | 48.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 52.5% | 47.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.