Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles
MLB · Wednesday, July 8, 2026 · 6:36 PM · Final: 9-7
The model's call
Baltimore Orioles to win
Model confidence 54.3%
Books consensus 54.3%
Result Chicago Cubs won
model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Chicago Cubs | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +105 | -125 |
| BetRivers | +117 | -143 |
| DraftKings | +105 | -126 |
| ESPN BET | +110 | -130 |
| Fanatics | +110 | -130 |
| FanDuel | +108 | -126 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +110 | -130 |
| Caesars | +110 | -130 |
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