New England Patriots at Chicago Bears
All New England Patriots predictions · All Chicago Bears predictions
NFL · Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 8:15 PM
The model's call
Chicago Bears to win
Model confidence 54.0%
Books consensus 54.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | New England Patriots | Chicago Bears |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +110 | -134 |
| DraftKings | +102 | -122 |
| FanDuel | +110 | -130 |
| Caesars | +108 | -127 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Bears −2.5
priced 49.7% to cover · 3 books, 1 on another number
Total
O/U 49
priced 50.3% over · 2 books, 2 on another number
opened 48.5
| Spread by book | Patriots | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +2.5 -112 | −2.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +2.5 -115 | −2.5 -105 |
| Caesars | +2.5 -110 | −2.5 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 49 -113 | 49 -108 |
| DraftKings | 48.5 -105 | 48.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 49 -110 | 49 -110 |
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