Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals
All Chicago Cubs predictions · All Washington Nationals predictions
MLB · Wednesday, August 12, 2026 · 6:46 PM · Final: 12-6
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Chicago Cubs | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -160 | +135 |
| BetRivers | -175 | +145 |
| DraftKings | -153 | +143 |
| ESPN BET | -165 | +140 |
| Fanatics | -165 | +135 |
| FanDuel | -154 | +142 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -155 | +145 |
| Caesars | -153 | +143 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Chicago Cubs | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 60.5% | 40.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| Markets average | 60.0% | 40.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.