New York Yankees at Washington Nationals
MLB · Friday, July 10, 2026 · 7:15 PM · Final: 5-3
The model's call
New York Yankees to win
Model confidence 59.0%
Books consensus 59.0%
Result New York Yankees won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Yankees | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -160 | +135 |
| BetRivers | -159 | +125 |
| DraftKings | -162 | +134 |
| ESPN BET | -150 | +130 |
| Fanatics | -155 | +130 |
| FanDuel | -158 | +134 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -160 | +135 |
| Caesars | -160 | +135 |
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