Boston Red Sox at Pittsburgh Pirates
All Boston Red Sox predictions · All Pittsburgh Pirates predictions
MLB · Saturday, August 15, 2026 · 7:16 PM · Final: 4-0
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Boston Red Sox | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -130 | +105 |
| BetRivers | -117 | +104 |
| DraftKings | -118 | +110 |
| ESPN BET | -120 | +107 |
| Fanatics | -120 | +100 |
| FanDuel | -120 | +110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -120 | +110 |
| Caesars | -125 | +115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Boston Red Sox | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 53.9% | 46.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Polymarket contract price | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| Markets average | 52.8% | 47.2% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.