Boston Red Sox at Pittsburgh Pirates
All Boston Red Sox predictions · All Pittsburgh Pirates predictions
MLB · Sunday, August 16, 2026 · 1:37 PM · Final: 3-8
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Boston Red Sox | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -110 | -110 |
| BetRivers | -118 | +104 |
| DraftKings | -105 | -102 |
| ESPN BET | -111 | -102 |
| Fanatics | -115 | -105 |
| FanDuel | -106 | -102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -110 | +100 |
| Caesars | -106 | -104 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Boston Red Sox | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 50.8% | 49.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 51.2% | 49.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Markets average | 51.0% | 49.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.